身边的经济学·社会常识英语30篇(9)
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Why Central Banks Adjust Interest Rates in Small Increments
为什么央行以微小幅度调整利率
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Central banks rarely change interest rates by more than 0.25 percentage points at once.央行很少一次性将利率调整超过0.25个百分点。
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Small adjustments help avoid sudden shocks to borrowing costs for households and businesses.小幅调整有助于避免家庭和企业借贷成本突然波动。
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Markets expect gradual moves, so abrupt changes could trigger volatility in bond and stock prices.市场预期渐进式调整,骤然变动可能引发债券和股票价格波动。
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Policymakers use tiny increments to test how the economy responds before committing further.决策者通过微小幅度试探经济反应,再决定是否进一步行动。
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Even a 0.10% shift affects billions in mortgage and corporate loan payments nationwide.即便仅0.10%的变动,也会影响全国数十亿房贷和企业贷款还款额。
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Gradualism also allows time for data collection, since economic trends take months to confirm.渐进方式也为数据收集留出时间,因经济趋势需数月才能确认。
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It reflects humility: central banks acknowledge uncertainty in forecasting inflation or growth.这体现谦逊:央行承认通胀或增长预测存在不确定性。
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Sudden large cuts might spark inflation fears, while steep hikes could stall employment gains.大幅快速降息可能引发通胀担忧,而陡峭加息则可能阻碍就业增长。
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This cautionary rhythm balances speed of response with stability of expectations.这种审慎节奏兼顾政策响应速度与市场预期稳定性。
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Thus, monetary policy works less like a switch and more like a finely tuned dial.因此,货币政策更像一个精细调节的旋钮,而非开关。