身边的经济学·社会常识英语30篇(9)
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Price Index Methodology and the Challenge of Quality Change
价格指数编制方法与质量变动难题
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Official price indices struggle to measure inflation when product quality improves faster than prices rise.当产品质量提升速度超过价格上涨时,官方价格指数难以准确衡量通胀。
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A smartphone today costs less relative to income than a 2007 model, yet offers vastly superior computing power and features.如今一部智能手机相对于收入的价格低于2007年机型,却拥有远超其计算能力和功能。
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Statisticians use hedonic regression to isolate price changes attributable solely to quality adjustments.统计学家采用享乐回归法,分离出仅由质量变化引起的纯价格变动。
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This method requires detailed specifications and consumer preference weights, which evolve unpredictably over time.该方法需依赖详尽的产品规格和消费者偏好权重,而后者随时间不可预测地演变。
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Services like ride-hailing or telehealth pose even harder measurement problems due to intangible outputs and variable delivery conditions.网约车、远程医疗等服务因产出无形、交付条件多变,测量难度更大。
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If quality gains are underestimated, inflation appears higher and real wage growth lower than reality.若高估质量提升,通胀率会被高估,实际工资增长则被低估。
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Central banks rely on these indices to assess purchasing power erosion across households with different consumption baskets.央行依赖这些指数评估不同消费结构家庭的购买力侵蚀程度。
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New goods entering the market often go unmeasured for months, creating temporary index bias.新商品进入市场后常数月未被纳入统计,造成暂时性指数偏差。
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International comparisons suffer further when national statistical agencies apply differing hedonic models.各国统计机构采用不同的享乐模型,进一步加剧国际比较的困难。
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Accurate indexing is not just arithmetic—it reflects deep institutional understanding of how value is created and experienced.精准编制指数不仅是算术问题,更体现对价值如何被创造与感知的深层制度理解。