Resilient Infrastructure: Engineering for Climate Uncertainty
韧性基础设施:面向气候不确定性的工程设计
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Modern infrastructure design no longer assumes historical climate patterns; engineers now use IPCC RCP 8.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios to stress-test coastal flood defenses and inland drainage networks.
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Probabilistic risk modeling replaces deterministic thresholds: a ‘100-year storm’ is now expressed as annual exceedance probability — enabling adaptive investment phasing across municipalities.
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